The best field for successful replication was personality studies, at about 50:50, while social psychology or behavioral studies were about twice as likely to be wrong (irreproducible) as right.
I don't recall who coined the "grandmother test" (it sounds like something AVI would say), but it goes like this: If she'd say "I could have told you that!" the study is probably right, and if not, be very skeptical.
And that's even WITHOUT the attitude of "Believe this not because it's true, but for some other reason."
ReplyDeleteIt long predates me, but I agree with the sentiment.
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