Wednesday, March 07, 2012

Libya partition?

I predicted that that the Libyan revolt would tend to partition the country. Looks like I was close. The country is not an organic construct, and the tribes don't always get along well--especially when one is sitting on oil. They're calling for federalism at the moment, and the powers-that-sort-of-be reject that in favor of continued central control. If they "deter them, even with force," from a federal plan I'd bet the East will start fighting for partition. I wonder what the Italians think.

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